Introduction
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a respiratory pathology with high prevalence, morbidity and mortality. The Spanish COPD guideline (GesEPOC) recommends individualizing treatment according to phenotypes. The phenotype classification was updated in 2021. This study aimed to determine the survival of patients by this new classification and compare the predictive capacity of mortality compared to the previous version.
Methods
This observational study of COPD patients involved prospective follow-up for 6 years. Demographic and clinical data were collected at the beginning and evolutionary data at the end of the study. Patients were classified according to GesEPOC 2017 and GesEPOC 2021. Univariate survival analysis and multivariate analysis identified mortality risk factors.
Results
Of the 273 patients, 243 (89.0%) were male. Ninety-three patients (34.1%) died during follow-up. Regarding phenotypes, 190 patients (69.6%) were non-exacerbators, 69 (25.3%) belonged to the non-eosinophilic exacerbator phenotype and 14 (5.1%) were of the eosinophilic exacerbator phenotype. Compared with non-exacerbator patients, those with the non-eosinophilic exacerbator phenotype had lower survival (p=0.009). Risk factors independently associated with mortality were older age (p<0.001), non-eosinophilic exacerbator phenotype (p=0.017) and a high Charlson index score (p<0.001). The new classification presented a worse ability to predict mortality than the previous version (area under the curve 0.632 vs 0.566, p=0.018).
Conclusion
Patients with the non-eosinophilic exacerbator phenotype had worse prognoses. This phenotype, advanced age and high comorbidity were mortality risk factors. The GesEPOC 2021 classification predicts mortality worse than the 2017 version. These data must be considered for more individualized management of COPD patients.
